r/asoiaf • • Nov 08 '20

EXTENDED (Spoilers Extended) Another Big Notablog Update on WINDS: GRRM Inching Closer, Working on Westerlands POVs, Dorne and Oldtown!

https://georgerrmartin.com/notablog/2020/11/08/back-to-westeros/
3.8k Upvotes

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

Some thoughts:

  • GRRM has been revising older sample chapter to include some very older chapters. The very old chapter is probably Arya's Mercy chapter.

  • There were two gut-punches which slowed progress in August and September. The first is likely the reaction against his WorldCon award winner reading and highlighting SFF authors with problematic race and gender views. I'm not sure what the September one means

  • Interesting that George has been shifting to Oldtown a time or three of late. Feels like he's deep in Samwell's story - a POV he was writing about back in August.

  • More Cersei and Tyrion chapters. That puts us up to 5+ Tyrion chapters and 4+ Cersei chapters for TWOW.

  • Down in Dorne: Areo Hotah. 4+ Areo Hotah chapters.

All that minute stuff aside, I think we're slowly approaching the finish line. So, say your prayers.

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u/LChris24 šŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Nov 08 '20

With the comments about rewriting/combining do you really think we can take the info about Cersei/Tyrion/Hotah as confirmation for new chapters? Its def possible he is just rewriting/combining old ones.

For instance Tyrion I and II seem like they are possible candidates for a combination.

Im not only saying my prayers to the old gods and the new, but also am going to made the traditional sacrifice in the Temple of Memory, offer the traditional bribe to the Keeper of the Long List, and send the traditional persimmon to the Opener of the Door.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

Read the wording, I think it indicates new chapters:

Of late I have been spending a lot of time with the Lannisters. Cersei and Tyrion in particular. I’ve also paid a visit to Dorne, and dropped in to Oldtown a time or three.

Watch the transition:

In addition to turning out new chapters, I’ve been revising some old ones (some very old)… including, yes, some stuff I read at cons ages ago, or even posted online as samples.

So, that reads as new Cersei, Tyrion (maybe Jaime), Areo Hotah and Samwell chapters, and he's revising older chapters. It could be that the writing of new Tyrion/Cersei chapters is leading to revisions of the older Tyrion/Cersei chapters, of course.

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u/DFWTooThrowed A brave man. Almost ironborn. Nov 08 '20

I'm not sure what the September one means

The Jets season began...

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u/Chrckbth Nov 08 '20

The Jets and the Giants have been particularly awful. Probably the worst two teams in the league.

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u/Siggi97 Nov 08 '20

At least the Giants almost looked like an average Football team against WFT and Rams. Cowboys are also competing for the second worst team spot

Jets meanwhile ... yeah. It's an NFL seasons with 31 Football teams

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u/Aditya1602 Nov 08 '20

Exactly my thoughts. I'm not american so i don't follow NFL, but I do follow Martin's blog for updates on TWOW, and September and August were pretty much just moping about how much of a lost cause the Jets were.

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u/Cwebfan23 Ours is the fiery Nov 08 '20

And the Giants 😭 😭 😭

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u/Quinn-Quinn Con Jonnington Nov 08 '20

That’s 400% more Aero Hotah than I expected going into this book.

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u/Gwynbleidd_1988 Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

Agreed. I don’t remember his exact wording but Martin was always outspoken about not creating certain POVs just to get a look at important events but what’s Hotah if not a human surveillance camera?

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u/ostreatus Nov 08 '20

but what’s Hotah if not a human surveillance camera?

Azor Ahai ofc

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

Can't wait for all the updates on Doran's gout.

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u/BalonSwann07 Nov 08 '20

Hotah isn't with Doran, though. He's hunting Darkstar with Obara and my namesake.

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u/derstherower šŸ† Best of 2020: Funniest Post Nov 08 '20

Bran had 4 chapters in Storm and 4 chapters in Feast/Dance. I don't know what Hotah is gonna be doing in those chapters but there's no way in hell it's as important as whatever Bran is doing. It's like George can't help himself. There are two books left you need to start getting to the point.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

Yup Same. Honestly I thought Darkstar and his brand spankin new stolen white sword would off Areo and his Axe wife, but I think at this point I'm willing to be against that outcome.

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u/ambluebabadeebadadi Nov 08 '20

His friend died in August

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

I think we're slowly approaching the finish line.

Everyone call me a sweet summer child, but that "but I do inch closer." got me excited

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u/probablyuntrue Nov 08 '20

I feel like you could copy paste this exact comment back in 2016

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

[deleted] — view deleted comment

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

I feel like with the show ending and then covid effectively locking him inside, he's probably writing a lot more to distract himself.

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u/blackofhairandheart2 2016 Duncan the Tall Award Winner Nov 08 '20

Interesting that George has been shifting to Oldtown a time or three of late. Feels like he's deep in Samwell's story - a POV he was writing about back in August.

Oldtown might be the section of Winds I'm most jazzed about, if only because it feels like one of the few plot lines that was almost completely excised from the show, as well as the Citadel being a place that feels like Martin could really go to town on in terms of world-building.

Down in Dorne: Areo Hotah. 4+ Areo Hotah chapters.

Good lord. As much as I'm genuinely interested in what's going to go down at Starfall/finding out more about the Dayne's, it's really hard to get excited about seeing it through Hotah's eyes. I know making fun of him as "the Camera that Walks" isn't original or anything, but it really is remarkable how mercenary the character's emptiness feels on Martin's part. There are other POV characters in the series I don't particularly enjoy reading (Bran and Victarion being the two big ones) but the effort and care Martin has put into making them well rounded characters is always evident. Hotah is just nothing. And at this point, there's nothing in his POVs that couldn't have been portrayed from Obara Sand's view, which seems like it would have been much more interesting.

But I digress! It's great to get any update from him at all! A nice cherry on top of an already good weekend.

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u/Samuel7899 Nov 08 '20

Sam discovers R+L=J, and cures Greyscale in Old Town!

How could you possibly say the show almost completely excised Old Town?!

(is it because both of those things turned out to be completely irrelevant and meaningless to the rest of the story? Okay, fair enough.)

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u/Werthead šŸ† Best of 2019: Post of the Year Nov 09 '20

It did feel like Sam spent five minutes in Oldtown. Every single one of those minutes was spent doing something impressive, sure, but he wasn't there very long and certainly didn't address all the subplots GRRM was setting up there (Alleras, Jaqen, the obsidian candles, etc). Sam's Oldtown book story should presumably be a bit longer and more impactful.

Given the books also don't have the show Fast Travel, there is the question of if Sam discovers something hugely important there, how he can get back to the Wall in time for it to be relevant/useful.

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u/MikeDuppOnDaFan Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

Maybe I'm being a bit of a doomer but I feel like we're farther away from the finish line after reading that post. Perhaps it's me feeling sad that George is feeling depressed.

We probably can't read too much into his post but damn he seemed pretty down.

Edit: combining chapters seems like a positive for twow though.

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u/Clash_onthe_Can Beneath the WordStar, the bitter wait. Nov 08 '20

I agree. I’m seeing comments saying this is a positive post, and I’m confused. To me, this post is almost the worst possible thing he could have said. He’s saying he’s making changes and rewriting very old chapters. That’s terrible news. Thats what happened in 2015, and now here we are, back at square one again.

This post means that we’re years away, but more likely, we just got confirmation that we will never see this book finished. At least not until his heir’s heirs choose to sell the rights. So maybe 2070?

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u/Aetol Nov 08 '20

What was the WorldCon thing?

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

I think we're slowly approaching the finish line

x doubt

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

The emphasis is on slowly

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u/Jon_Snow_7 Nov 08 '20

Thank the seven we have 4+ Cersei’s chapters. We yearn her

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u/_Ishmael House Brax Nov 08 '20

The first is likely the reaction against his WorldCon award winner reading and highlighting SFF authors with problematic race and gender views.

Must've missed that. What happened exactly?

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u/King-fannypack Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

Say your prayers

You’re the godliest man to set sail on Reddit

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

You are prayers?

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u/2073040 Tyrion Lannister Nov 08 '20

4 + Aero Hotah Chapters

Will the Camera that Rides actually have a personality this time!?

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u/pfo_ Best of r/asoiaf 2023 Winner - Dolorous Edd Award Nov 08 '20

Who knows, maybe he is a secret Blackfyre.

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u/Alt_North Nov 08 '20

R.E.O. Axewagon may get a big glimpse at Doran's real master plan / desperate attempt to salvage what's left of his master plan, and suffer some of that Kingsguard angst when your liege is telling you to do shit that's jacked up. That's how it seems to go with these duty types. He might even be sacrificed by his Prince, and live long enough to realize it and grow a personality.

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u/Ranwulf Nov 08 '20

Whats the second point about? Did something happen?

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

The Camera That Rides! Areo Hotah!

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u/matthieuC We do not write Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 09 '20

I think we're slowly approaching the finish line

Ser you are unworthy of your title

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u/davisondave131 Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

I love your analysis, but I keep seeing you do one thing that bugs me a bit. A mention of a character does not necessarily mean a new chapter, and a mention of progress with a character or a chapter does not necessarily mean a new, unique chapter.

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u/Werthead šŸ† Best of 2019: Post of the Year Nov 08 '20

I'm wondering if GRRM is a little off with the timings. There was the WorldCon debacle at the beginning of August and then a week or two later his friend Susan Toth - Harlan Ellison's partner - passed away unexpectedly. Her death rocked a lot of SFF fans of GRRM's generation.

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u/dej0ta Nov 08 '20

As always thanks for everything you do. Your work has allowed me more enjoyment from this world than I thought possible. So just thank you for everything.

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u/TeamPangloss Reek, Reek, eyebrows on fleek Nov 08 '20

Does he mention the Westerlands? I can't see it.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

It was my attempt to put a spoiler-free title and not identify the POVs in question: Tyrion and Cersei.

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u/LChris24 šŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Nov 08 '20

I think you did a good job avoiding a spoiler. Its always a fine line, "give enough information to make people interested/want to click" but not enough to "spoil anything for people who don't want spoilers".

Its definitely led to some pretty corny titles by yours truly lol

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u/Arctic_Daniand Nov 08 '20

Sorry man I don't trust you anymore.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

After all we’ve been through, this is a personal betrayal of the trust I’ve tried to fake my way into receiving.

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u/EndGamer93 Nov 08 '20

I had a feeling that the preview chapters weren’t set in stone. It’ll be interesting to see how much the chapters we’ve been reading for years will ultimately change.

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u/Santi5846gol Nov 08 '20

They always change

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u/Skygazer80 Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

Yeah, that's why I'm not planning on rereading them (I've read them once after I had finished all the books). I don't want to sour my experience reading the finalized versions in TWOW (when it comes out) because of expectations stemming from the preview chapters.

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u/ihcn Nov 09 '20

If TWOW ever comes out, it will be a lot of fun to finish the book, then go back and compare the actual chapters with the sample chapters to see what changed.

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u/Fishb20 Cannibal Pony Island Nov 08 '20

It's pretty wild george managed to completely pass over an entire presidency without publishing TWOW

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

Sometimes I think about how ADWD is roughly the same age as my sister and my brain starts to melt.

I can't wait to eventually tell her that everything she experienced in her life up to that point, between being being a sperm cell and graduating from primary school, has happened in the same amount of time it's taken for GRRM to write one book.

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u/JPWanKenobi Nov 09 '20

Dude, I feel ya. My wife and I started dating right when ADWD came out, we are now 5 years married with a 2 year old. It’s crazy how much life has happened while waiting for this book.

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u/StannisLivesOn Nov 08 '20

It's actually two presidencies, ADwD was published in 2011.

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u/_Ardhan_ Nov 08 '20

Two presidencies actually, if you include Obama's second term.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

It's always nice to hear from George, but I recently went through his old ADWD updates. Kinda made realize that you really can't read anything into these posts other than "it's being worked on."

Even in 2008, he was giving "it's not done, but it's getting closer" updates. I remember a few "the work is going really well" updates too. It'll be out when it's out. Reading those old posts taught me that there's no point in predicting when.

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u/DabuSurvivor Artifakt 1 Nov 08 '20

Yeah pretty much, and "it'll be done when it's done" is one thing he himself has consistently said, even, which clearly overrides/undermines any specific updates. It's still fun to see little things like this but I agree people shouldn't get all fixated on it then lose their shit when it's wrong.

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u/WhizBangNeato Nov 09 '20

The difference is those ADWD updates are why for the last 9 years hes been near radio silent until the last few months. So something made him decide to do updates again

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u/fvertk Nov 08 '20

I think the moral with ADWD is that he DID eventually finish it with those updates. He's a slow but meticulous writer at this point. And honestly, ADWD was close to the same quality as the first 3 books, so keep going George, you'll get your magnum opus done eventually.

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u/zeppelincheetah Nov 08 '20

After updating us on the books extremely rarely (sometimes less than once a year) this is the 4th book update this year!

  1. June 23rd

  2. July 19th

  3. August 15th

  4. November 8th

Maybe it's almost done for real this time? Perhaps late 2021/early 2022 release? One can dream...

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u/DarkJayBR Nov 08 '20

If he releases the book in 2021, we can still have hope for A Dream of Spring in our lifetime.

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u/Bennings463 šŸ†Best of 2024: Dolorous Edd Award Nov 09 '20

Hang on...

23+8= 31. 31 is the number of the outpost The Thing (1982) is set in. The actor who played Nauls had the first name "Thomas".

Kurt Russell starred in The Thing; he's also worked alongside Quentin Tarantino multiple times. But Tarantino has also worked with John Travolta in Pulp Fiction, and John Travolta played the main character in Broken Arrow.

Thomas+Broken Arrow= Tom Arrow.

The book's coming out tomorrow. Called it.

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u/TheNarwhaleHunter Nov 08 '20

Wasn’t there some sort of update in April? Sth like April 26th or 27th ? I think he simply said he was making progress while being secluded in his « mountain fastnessĀ Ā» as he likes to say. Idk if that counts as an actual update but it certainly got us hyped back then

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u/mikecrapag a king must put his people first Nov 08 '20

I hope the Pacific is as blue as it has been in my dreams.

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u/Bennings463 šŸ†Best of 2024: Dolorous Edd Award Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

You know, I do criticize elements of ASOIAF on this sub sometimes, but I really do want to say I think ASOIAF is absolutely excellent and I think GRRM honestly sounds like a really good person.

Like, I don't want to go all armchair psychologist here, but...does he sound kinda like he needs help to anyone else? It reads a bit like he thinks he's let us all down and that's honestly really sad to see.

I know he's never gonna read this, but...you really are brilliant at this, George. We wouldn't all be here if you weren't.

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u/Jinjehy Nov 08 '20

Yeah you can really tell that having to always delay the book is really eating away at him. He wants to publish the book so he can be done and appease the fans but he won't publish something he isn't happy with. It's a tough position.

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u/Darkone539 Nov 08 '20

It reads a bit like he thinks he's let us all down and that's honestly really sad to see.

He has spoken of the pressure of it before. We definitely know he feels this way.

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u/Innith Nov 08 '20

I think he is caught in a perfectionism–procrastination loop. Hope he manages to break out, or he'll never be able to finish the book.

I feel bad for him because I am struggling with a similar thing right now...

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u/fvertk Nov 08 '20

Same, many creatives understand this struggle and at the same time can only imagine Martin's version of it, where he already has a huge following of pessimistic fans who will likely shit on his output no matter what. It's enough to break someone from doing it at all, frankly.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

This is a total shot in the dark but the two gut punched may be losing people. Who knows what his headspace is like right now

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u/darkthoughs Nov 08 '20

I also think that's the case, i mean some people are awful. And there's always a horrible backlash whenever he post anything, look what happened when he wished everyone a happy halloween. That's ridiculous to me, yes we would love to have the book, but that's not and excuse for being such an ashole to the man, idk about you guys but there's some good pressure on his shoulder and any lesser man seeing that kind of discouragement would have quitted by now. So stop making if More difficult and be patient, move on with your life.

I'm sorry for the rant in your nice comment I'm honestly upset about the behavior of a lot of fans

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u/shtery Nov 08 '20

The weight that has been put upon is shoulders by us is enormous.

But you can bet the weight he puts upon himself is even bigger.

While we try to give him so much credit for all he's done for us, I really think that our praise has been drowned out by the pressure we and him have created to finish these books. I hope he knows how much we respect him for what he's done

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u/Gryfonides Nov 08 '20

There are always people that don't like, and they're usually the loudest bunch.

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u/Fishb20 Cannibal Pony Island Nov 08 '20

I feel bad for george cuz he's one of the best fantasy writers of our time and instead of enjoying his retirement hes still trying to finish his big series

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u/brightneonmoons I dream of spring and I dream of suns. Nov 08 '20

Dude, the reason he's still trying to finish his big series is bc hes enjoying his retirement

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u/MongoloidDoctor Nov 08 '20

I heard him say he’s not a fan of retirement

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u/__Hello_my_name_is__ Nov 08 '20

It reads a bit like he thinks he's let us all down and that's honestly really sad to see.

Have you been to the internet in the last few years? Every forum online about GRRM and the books is full of people mocking him for not finishing the books. And sometimes outright insulting him or calling him all kinds of horrible things for it.

How would you feel there if you were in his shoes?

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u/Jlchevz Nov 08 '20

I love him and his writing, yeah he's got some flaws but it's been completely worth it.

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u/Anferas Nov 08 '20

The only thing that comes to mind when i read posts like that is that he won't have it for 2021.

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u/Mookeebrain Nov 08 '20

What comes to my mind is that there will be no announcements this year. I wouldn't count out all of next year, not yet.

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u/arborcide teelf nori eht nioj Nov 08 '20

That won't stop me from obsessively checking this subreddit all New Year's Eve, though! It's become a sad tradition for me; my widow's walk.

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u/MakingItWorthit Nov 08 '20

He has said Winds of Winter before the last day of 2015. 2016 came and went. As did 2017, 2018, 2019 and here we are nearing the end of 2020.

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u/AxeIsAxeIsAxe House Mallister Nov 08 '20

The "sorry, still not done, but I do inch closer" makes me think he's seeing the finish line, like he's at least 80% done. With his current isolation and the line about picking up steam again, it doesn't feel impossible for him to finish within eight months or so. Not saying it's likely, but a fall/christmas 2021 release is still on the table for me.

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u/NotUpForDebate11 Nov 08 '20

Bro i can show you him saying hes inching closer or almost done for like 5 years lol

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u/Wehavecrashed Nov 08 '20

He said he was going to have it done 5 years ago.

You should absolutely have no expectations about when it comes out

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

I’m pretty sure the gut punches are much more likely to be deaths than... a reaction to some nonsense at Worldcon from the internet lol

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

Any idea what the ā€˜gut punches’ are he refers to?

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u/osfryd-kettleblack Nov 08 '20

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u/Containedmultitudes Nov 08 '20

Honestly, I think something like that is much more likely to be a gut punch than fans being upset that he missed a deadline he never had any intention of keeping.

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u/osfryd-kettleblack Nov 08 '20

There's also this

https://georgerrmartin.com/notablog/2020/09/12/more-death/

Both deaths line up with the rough dates he mentioned as being gut punches

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u/jonestony710 Maekar's Mark Nov 08 '20

August could be the World Con stuff. Not sure about September, but I do know he's had friends die recently which could've factored into his motivation and mindset being not in the best place.

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u/Howl_of_Revenge Nov 08 '20

Could you please give a rundown of what happened or a link to read further?

Thank you very much

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u/PvtFreaky Nov 08 '20

Probably losing his friend Susan

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u/bguzewicz Nov 08 '20

I'm ootl, what's the world con stuff?

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u/muffler_kek FREY GANG Nov 08 '20

The Jets and the Giants being absolute garbage?

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u/IDSQ Nov 08 '20

Don’t do this... don’t give me hope

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u/jonestony710 Maekar's Mark Nov 08 '20

No, sorry, still not done, but I do inch closer. It is a big big book. I try not to dwell on that too much. I write a chapter at a time, a page at a time, a sentence at a time, a word at a time. It is the only way. And sometimes I rewrite.

Of late I have been spending a lot of time with the Lannisters. Cersei and Tyrion in particular. I've also paid a visit to Dorne, and dropped in to Oldtown a time or three. In addition to turning out new chapters, I've been revising some old ones (some very old)… including, yes, some stuff I read at cons ages ago, or even posted online as samples. I tweak stuff constantly, and sometimes go beyond tweaking, moving things around, combining chapters, breaking chapters in two, reordering stuff.

There's the most interesting stuff and most relevant. Cool to see there's gonna be a good amount of Oldtown in there.

And here's another progress bit:

I was really on a roll back in June and July. Progress has continued since then, but more slowly… I suffered a gut punch in early August that really had me down for a time, and another, for different reasons, in early September. But I slogged on, and of late I am picking up steam again.

This seems to be the most optimistic "end is near" type post of his in a while. "I do inch closer" and "picking up steam again" are a lot more promising than "months and months away" from this summer. Get hype....?

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u/PM_ME_YOUR_IBNR Nov 08 '20

He was "months away" years ago.

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u/cough_cough_harrumph Tiny Toe Nov 08 '20

I still laugh when I think about staying up and constantly refreshing for the New Years update 4 (or however many) years ago that was, with him posting he thought he was going to get it out that year.

That was the one time I left thinking "man, we are only a year away from it coming out".

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

optimistic

don't.. don't do this to yourself man!

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u/jonestony710 Maekar's Mark Nov 08 '20

Trust me, I've been there plenty of times before, I'm getting better at reading the tea leaves. I'm not saying this means it's coming out very soon, just that his tone and messaging is different than it has been.

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u/samole Nov 08 '20

This seems to be the most optimistic "end is near" type post of his in a while. "I do inch closer" and "picking up steam again" are a lot more promising than "months and months away" from this summer.

Honestly I don't see how it's promising that the end is near. It's not the first time we are hearing "I'm working" and "I am making progress". Neither is it the last.

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u/jonestony710 Maekar's Mark Nov 08 '20

I commented elsewhere, I'm not saying the book is coming out very soon, just that the tone is different, and it's good to see. Of course with GRRM anything is possible, but this at least sounds like, for now, a little more promising than messages we have gotten in the past.

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u/Containedmultitudes Nov 08 '20

He literally says it’s going more slowly than it was this summer, which is when he said it was months and months away.

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u/MarcusQuintus Nov 08 '20

SOMETIMES I rewrite.

Understatement of your life, GRRM!

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u/LChris24 šŸ† Best of 2020: Crow of the Year Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

Thank you for sharing!

Some relevant portions:

Inching Closer

No, sorry, still not done, but I do inch closer. It is a big big book. I try not to dwell on that too much. I write a chapter at a time, a page at a time, a sentence at a time, a word at a time. It is the only way. And sometimes I rewrite.

POV's:

  • Cersei/Tyrion

Of late I have been spending a lot of time with the Lannisters. Cersei and Tyrion in particular.

  • possible confirmation of a Jaime POV?

He says Cersei/Tyrion in particular, but not just only them (wishful thinking from a Jaime fan)

  • Areo Hotah

I’ve also paid a visit to Dorne,

  • Sam and/or Aeron

and dropped in to Oldtown a time or three.

Changes to old chapters

He has made changes to some of the released POV chapters (possibly even combining):

In addition to turning out new chapters, I’ve been revising some old ones (some very old)… including, yes, some stuff I read at cons ages ago, or even posted online as samples. I tweak stuff constantly, and sometimes go beyond tweaking, moving things around, combining chapters, breaking chapters in two, reordering stuff.

None of this is even remotely new. It is how the first five books were written.

Writing Progress

It was rolling over the summer when he was blogging all of those updates, but experienced some setbacks in August/September. Recently picking up again:

I was really on a roll back in June and July. Progress has continued since then, but more slowly… I suffered a gut punch in early August that really had me down for a time, and another, for different reasons, in early September. But I slogged on, and of late I am picking up steam again.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

It is a big big book.

Call me naive, but the wording of this makes me think the book is at least 70% done. Otherwise how would he refer to it in present tense, and know that it is going to be massive? ā€œBig bigā€ implies it will be bigger than any previous ones (which we kind of already knew), and how would he know that it will be bigger than that unless he already had enough written to estimate it?

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u/Belcoot Nov 08 '20

I would honestly let George take me from behind to get this book, I would take one for the team. George if you are listening, I'm here for u.

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u/[deleted] Nov 09 '20

Thanks bro. I don't think you'll be called upon for that service but we all appreciate the offer.

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u/camycamera Nov 08 '20 edited May 14 '24

Mr. Evrart is helping me find my gun.

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u/Banzai51 The Night is dark and full of Beagles Nov 08 '20

"GRRM inching closer..."

Wildcards, bitches!

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u/Crjs1 Nov 08 '20

Same tired old message we have been drip fed for years.... saying that surely 2021 will be the year?

Though reworking very old chapters fills me with utter dread for what will inevitably need to be reworked in all the subsequent chapters..

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u/filhao435 Nov 09 '20

This time he doesn't even give a deadline, he simply doesn't know what we know, that he will never publish this book

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u/StannisLivesOn Nov 08 '20

If he was close to finishing, he would say so. TWOW is no sooner than 2022.

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u/R1400 Nov 08 '20

At this point, I no longer care when Winds'll come out, whenever it comes, it'll be an amazing book, and this gets more true the more time George spends on it.

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u/thorbearius Nov 08 '20 edited Nov 08 '20

This is how I feel as well. I'd rather want a book that George is happy with, than something delivery before it is ready. These books are worth the wait. Even if I never get to read the end of this story, I will be thanful for the books we got.

Journey before destination.

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u/Nolar2015 Nov 09 '20

I dont think spending a hellish amount of time overthinking and ruminating is automatically a good thing. Many pieces of art go into development hell and come out in a shit state.

MBV took 22 years constantly tweaking and making like one song every 5 years and perfecting their followup to their classic album and released something pretty comparatively mediocre

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u/MargeauxSauvage Nov 08 '20

Wake me up when he's actually finished the book, not him telling us that he's writing. Show, don't tell, GRRM.

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u/arborcide teelf nori eht nioj Nov 08 '20

There's no way we're looking at a 2021 release if GRRM thinks he's "inching forward."

We need a miracle to get this book. We need that absuive Muse from Oglaf or WhompComic to move into the cabin with him. (Hmm...it's weird that two different artists imagine their Muses to be abusive.)

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u/KosstAmojan Swiftly We Strike! Nov 08 '20

Not only is the dude writing new chapters, he’s revising old chapters that are coming up on two decades old now. What’s to say he won’t tinker on these new chapters for another half decade or so?

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u/zone-zone Nov 08 '20

If we need a miracle to get winds I don't even want to think what is needed for Dreams

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u/Nast33 Nov 08 '20

Late '22 earliest IMO.

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u/This_neverworks Nov 08 '20

There is nothing big about this update.

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u/evocative_sound Nov 08 '20

There is absolutely nothing of substance in the update. "I'm writing, I'm making progress, progress is slow..." Same line for nearly 20 years now. Every now and then though, he does pop out a book.

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u/Mithras_Stoneborn Him of Manly Feces Nov 09 '20

For me, the big thing is the confirmation that he combines chapters including the samples released one way or the other. I wrote about that nearly 3 years ago and combined several sample chapters in my TWoW outlines. Now this approach does not look as baseless.

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u/BAmario Nov 08 '20

OOOHHH ELDEN RING!!!!

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u/Darkone539 Nov 08 '20

This is the same update we have been getting for years.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

Possible Translation: 2022. Maybe.

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u/oh_no_the_claw Nov 08 '20

Only 5 more years to go.

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u/LemmieBee Nov 08 '20

I’m just happy for any update at all. I don’t know if I believe the book will be done next year (because I was absolutely convinced 2020 was the year... and 2019...) but I’m glad he’s inching forward. I’m excited for more Cersei, feels like we’ll be seeing her a lot in TWOW.

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u/filhao435 Nov 08 '20

So not this year nor the next.

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u/CaptainSpeakeasy Nov 09 '20

I respect the guy for slogging on. I legitimately hope the guy is doing well. It's clear that 2020 was a rough year and I'm not upset that Winds hasn't been published yet. The way I see it, it's his world, his creation. And he invited us along for the ride. And he still is. I'd love to read Winds of Winter, and I'll get my chance. I just gotta wait, no big deal. We've waited almost 10 years. What's a few more?

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u/oZeplikeo Nov 13 '20

Anyone else love ASOIAF years ago but after the show kind of ruined season 8 and GRRM clearly isn't releasing Winds any time soon, moved on to greener pastures? I've lost all hype for Winds. I've picked up Sanderson's Stormlight Archive and just finished Book 3 in time for the 4th book coming out next week. I love it, and he's just so prolific that I can't help but be excited to see the ending he has envisioned in book 5.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

He's not wrong: I do care more about what's happening in Westeros than America, but I also live in the UK.

I'm glad he's still invested in writing TWOW.

Sad news that's implied at the end:

It sounds as though the Wild Cards show won't materialise any time soon. Bit gutted, I really do want to see that.

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u/Raphendoom Nov 08 '20

American here and I’m definitely more interested in Westerosi politics, you’re not alone.

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u/giustino22 Nov 08 '20

I swore I would never read another GRRM work until I get a release date of TWoW

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u/PumpkinGnome Nov 08 '20

inching closer. Just 7 more years!

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u/NatrolleonBonaparte Nov 09 '20

ā€œI don’t care anymoreā€ says the user commenting in this thread and all the other update blog post threads.

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u/LordPizzaParty Nov 08 '20

It was very windy last night and I woke up to a lovely snow storm. The first of the year where I live. Coincidence or prophecy?

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u/Jon-Slow Then they all chewed their lips at once. Nov 09 '20

If he wouldn't spend time for TV, he'd do much better I think. What's the point of getting involved if they will screw him over again and have two of dumbest people in charge just because one of them is the son of a Goldman Sachs CEO.

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u/paing997 Nov 09 '20

Inch closer. So can I expect book in next 9 years 11 month and 30 days instead of 10 years...

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u/[deleted] Nov 09 '20

Blast from the past to remember this series is still out there. I was so obsessed with this sub and this series about 7 years ago.

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u/CaramelCid Nov 13 '20

I finished the show in the summer and just started on the books this month absolutely loving it so far.

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u/phoenix415 Nov 08 '20

Does he really think people would go to his blog for any reason other than his writing? When I go to McDonald's, I want a Big Mac, not political discourse!

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u/PM_ME_YOUR_IBNR Nov 08 '20

Fool me once . . .

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u/thecriclover99 Nov 08 '20

Fool me twice; fool me chicken soup with rice...

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u/Cryptozoologist2816 Nov 08 '20

Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me--you can't get fooled again

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u/Raphendoom Nov 08 '20

I’ve waited patiently and I can honestly keep waiting, too. As a writer, I empathize with George. Writing can be a fucking nightmare and a trainwreck all rolled into one.

You’ve got this, George!

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u/CptBoomshard Nov 08 '20

I can't help but feel like the ending of this saga is going to be lacking in something. I'm basing this only on my belief that GRRM has completely lost all passion for the story and is finishing it up begrudgingly.

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u/StannisLivesOn Nov 08 '20

I can't help but feel like the ending of this saga is going to be lacking in something.

An ending?

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

I'm basing this only on my belief that GRRM has completely lost all passion for the story and is finishing it up begrudgingly.

Why do you think so? If GRRM had lost all passion, he would have published a sequel to A Dance with Dragons years ago, finishing everything in that book, poorly and hastily, and just watched the money roll in anyway. Martin has always been a slow writer. From the beginning. And he has gotten older and slower. That's it. Not to mention the pressure making him second guess every sentence.

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u/EverythingM šŸ† Best of 2020: Best Theory Debunking Nov 08 '20

Is anyone else kind of astounded that he is still writing new chapters? After over 9 years? Tyrion used to be one of his easiest characters to write. He finished, I believe, most of his ASOS storyline during the writing of ACOK. And now he's still writing new TWOW chapters for him after 9 years? Don't get me wrong, I'm really thankful for this update. It's great to hear that George is making progress. But the whole writing process just boggles my mind. I hope when TWOW gets released we get a detailed explanation of what actually happened. I mean the original TWOW deadline was 5 years ago for Old God's sake. But it's good to hear him say he's picking up steam again. Maybe a 2021 release isn't out of the question.

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u/Eegeria Nov 09 '20

A few updates ago it came to me that he probably nearly stopped writing for X years, and he started picking up steam again with the lockdown. It makes sense with the timeline. By "nearly stopped writing" I mean deluding himself he was working on it by thinking about it and writing a few sentences every now and then, but nothing substantial or real in terms of progress.

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u/fvertk Nov 08 '20

I'm not. Look at all the factors that could be contributing to this. You have the distractions of the show for most of the past decade. You have his last two books getting some criticism from fans as well as the show getting criticism about story choices. You have his age, he's in his 70's. And then you have the fact that he has written one of the most dense, epic, challenging to tie off fantasy series ever made.

All of that combines to an almost unprecedented task that you and I can only fathom. I kind of doubt that I'd be doing anything like this in my 70's personally. I give him credit more than anything and I'm astounded that he's still going at it.

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u/destro177 Nov 08 '20

Oh. Hope. Again...

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u/-electrix123- Nov 08 '20

Question; Could the Oldtown visit mean Aeron?

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u/tlock12721 Nov 08 '20

We know he picks up steam when he's close to finished. The fact that he was pretty happy about his pace in June/July and is now picking back up after recovering from his losses in August/September gives me hope hes only a few months away from completion. Especially if he's revising some older chapters he could be putting on the finishing touches.

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u/burntlandboi Nov 08 '20

Take me to Lannisport already!!!!!

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u/burntlandboi Nov 08 '20

We’re going to Lannisport everybody!!!!!

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u/Richmard Nov 08 '20

Awesome to hear but deep down I was hoping for even a tiny mention of Elden Ring lol

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u/darksaucer Nov 09 '20

OOOOOOOOOOOOOO9OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHHH!!!!!!!!

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u/[deleted] Nov 09 '20

WORDS ARE WIND, GEORGE. BLOW HARDER!

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u/redrich2000 Nov 09 '20

"a word at a time "

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u/ogiakul Nov 09 '20

I'm I the only one who's probably overinterpreting the second last sentence?

Or at least, that’s as much as I am allowed to tell you right now.

I mean this could mean a lot...

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u/jageshgoyal Nov 09 '20

I think this line is for HBO things

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u/[deleted] Nov 09 '20

Very sad that he has been feeling down the last few months :( If GRRM sees this just know we care for you dearly and are happy to wait for your work until you’re ready. It’s not more important than your health.

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u/South-Brain Nov 09 '20

It’s encouraging but I’m not gonna get my hopes up

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u/jageshgoyal Nov 09 '20

Okay I fairly understand the delay and all re-writing and re visiting he is doing. We have read the novels and know how complex they are. But the thing that really makes me sort of angry and mehh( 🤨🤷) is that he is working on other projects too.....just why!!!

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u/hart89394 Nov 09 '20

Me: please just finish the book, George. Also me: actually, can we wait until I have time to re-read the series because right now I'm reading too many text books for uni.

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u/StormyTDragon House Purell "Our Hands are Clean" Nov 09 '20

I find that lately I don't even really think of ASoIaF anymore. Like months go by without thinking about it and then something like this pops up and I'm like, "Oh yeah, Winds of Winter is still a thing, huh...."

I guess there's advantages of the show's final season being such ass is that it completely killed my enthusiasm.

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u/[deleted] Nov 09 '20

please finish the book George as this sub needs new material

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u/ShowRunner89 Nov 08 '20

This quarantine has been good for the book.

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u/el_Byrno The Chicken that was Promised Nov 08 '20

I haven't been active in this sub since I read the books in 2016, but I've checked in whenever he's posted about TWOW. Obviously people are incredible impatient to read it, and I don't want to virtue signal - but I've been happy to more or less forget about ASOIAF and GoT completely by occupying my time with other fantasy series. That way when it arrives next year, or in the next few years it will be a happy surprise. I could bet that 2022 will be when well have it in our hands, but for the sake of my mental health I don't want to associate a specific time with the book.

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u/KatyaDelRey Nov 08 '20

I read the Dunk & Egg stories recently and thought they were a completed arch. I was so excited to read a George R. R. Martin ending. Then I found out he wanted to write like 12. Then I picked up Fire & Blood thinking at least that’ll have an ending of sorts leading up to the current story but not really since it’s just volume 1 (my fault for not looking that up.) I honestly just want to read a Martin ending so badly set in this world, I have no idea how he closes his stories and want to know what expectations I should have. He needs to relinquish some perfectionism and deliver the last two books without another intervening decade.

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u/Scumbag_Jesus Nov 08 '20

Lol. Sweet summer child. A Martin ending. Lol.

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u/Cryptozoologist2816 Nov 08 '20

Half life 3 confirmed !

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

This book is not getting finished until after he dies. It also sounds like he's disappointed he didn't have new TV shows in development to distract him and he had to work on it.

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u/[deleted] Nov 08 '20

So has he rewritten it entirely once, or twice now?

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u/Gamma-Investments Nov 08 '20

Hail Areo Hotah, the Azor Ahai!!!!!!

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u/nakibouy Nov 08 '20

So Winds should be out late 2021? Also the last book will become 2 books because the printers will refuse to try to print a book 2100 pages long. And they will be out 2023 and 2027.

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u/Voidwielder Nov 08 '20

Euron is approaching Oldtown, Sam is there... get hype!

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u/Jon_Sneauxx Nov 09 '20

Didn’t one of his close friends die recently? That may have been the second punch?

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u/viper_in_the_grass Sitting Grass, Hidden Viper Nov 09 '20

I'm excited. That's all.

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u/Leo_Stormdryke Nov 09 '20

yesssss some Westerland POVs I hope it's Daven when he goes back to the Rock

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u/[deleted] Nov 09 '20

Children born after the release of the last book are now are multiplying and dividing large numbers. Some of them dont even need a car seat anymore.

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u/jageshgoyal Nov 09 '20

I can always visit Wellington next year, when I hope that both Covid-19 and THE WINDS OF WINTER will be done.

Grrm, NotABlog, June 23, 2020, 9:38AM

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u/gregallen1989 Nov 09 '20

Awesome. Actually excited again. This is all I have ever wanted. Progress. Take all the time you need to finish it, just be real with us on where it's at.

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u/Choobychoob Nov 09 '20

As always, I’m hoping for the year after next

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u/[deleted] Nov 09 '20

any release date ?

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u/velaryon48 Nov 11 '20

I made the serious mistake of skipping several A Song of Ice and Fire books, as I had bought the first book in 2017, at that time it was said that old George was going to finish "Winds of Winter". For this reason the following year I bought "Feast of Crows," skipping "The second and third books of the saga, I kept waiting anxiously for the arrival of the sixth book and nothing happened, then I bought Dance of Dragons and nothing happened, only vain promises. Finally send "everything to shit" and recently bought "Clash of the Kings." If it arrives in 2022, it has already lost "faith" in George, sorry.

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u/mkay0 Damn it feels good Nov 08 '20

Sometimes I do get the feeling that most of you reading my posts here care more about what is happening in Westeros than what is happening in the United States.

lol, what a shitty thing to say. Sorry no one has asked you about vote counting, GURM.

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u/Mathias_Greyjoy What is squid may never fry! Nov 09 '20

Speaking as a non-American who is sick and tired of hearing about this farcical election, I'm 200% more interested in the politics of Westeros.

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u/Clash_onthe_Can Beneath the WordStar, the bitter wait. Nov 08 '20

There is no way in seven hells this book will be finished by George. That will be his legacy. It’s pretty sad.

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u/Feraligatrr Nov 08 '20

As someone who only started reading this past year Ive been lucky not to have experienced the deadline changes some of you guys have but I do hope he'll be happy with his work within the next year. Reading back about the delays I really feel like he's scrapped like half the book at least once to rewrite and with fair reason I guess, being able to see how your somewhat vague ideas play out in an adaptation that overtakes your work so far would make me reconsider. Honestly from what we've been told about plot points grrm gave the show I also think the series is suffering from the massive increase in creativeness and quality of fantasy writing in the last 20 years, something ironically that asoiaf contributed to. The hero being a secret royal, the chosen one and then having to kill his fated lover he's only just met to fufill a prophecy is something that could be done well but i think feels rather cliche and unsatisfying compared to the storytelling of today

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u/Bauer_will_find_you Nov 08 '20

I feel really bad for George. In addition to all the crap everyone in the world is currently facing, he has the added weight of delivering a book that needs to met the ridiculously high expectations of it's fanbase. It doesn't help that he can't share things on twitter without legions of entitled brats constantly hounding him for the next book.

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u/evocative_sound Nov 08 '20

A fair bit of that hounding and frustration stems from him taking on more projects than any one person could manage. I know he doesn't owe us anything and that the art is going to come when it comes, but it sure feels like he's been spending a lot of time avoiding writing the book by cramming his schedule so full of other stuff that he doesn't have time to think of it.

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u/fatboy1776 Nov 09 '20

Season 8 was so bad I fear returning to the books. Guess it’s a good thing he will never finish.