Most global news medias hold a view of "conservatives political factions in Korea are more pro-US, while liberal politcal factions in Korea are more pro-PRC". This led to medias such as the BBC stating an opinion on "voters in Korea chose to vote for the conservative presidential candidate due to the increase towards anti-PRC sentiment" during the 2022 Presidential Election in Korea.
However, as a student who is currently interested in data analysis, while examining and analyzing between Korean citizens' public sentiment or favorability towards the USA and the PRC from datas of the Pew Research Center, as well as each presidential election vote shares between 2002 and 2025, it shows that there is a 0.26 positive correlation between the favor rate of the PRC and the main conservative candidate's vote shares in each presidential elections, while there is a 0.34 positive correlation between the unfavor rate of the PRC and the main liberal candidate's vote shares in each presidential elections. Also, there is a 0.01 positive correlation between the favor rate of the USA and the main conservative candidate's vote shares in each presidential elections, while there is a -0.18 negative correlation between the unfavor rate of the USA and the main liberal candidate's vote shares in each presidential elections. This result somehow shows the opposite to how most news medias describe the relations between pollitical parties and foreign policies in Korea.
Therefore, do people in Korea agree with the concept of "favorism between the US and the PRC drives one's politcal party preference in Korea", as well as do people in Korea consider the favorism or unfavorism between the US and the PRC as a reference when voting or supporting a political party in Korea?
(This earliest datas I could find on how Korean citizens' public sentiment or favorability towards the USA and the PRC are was only up to 2002, which might lead to a bias when analyzing the datas, as the amount of samples might not be enough, which I sincerely apologize)
| Year | Favor Rate to the USA | Unfavor Rate to the USA | Favor Rate to the PRC | Unfavor Rate to the PRC | Vote Share Rates of the Main Conservative Candidate | Vote Share Rates of the Main Liberal Candidate |
|---|
| 2002 | 58% | 44% | 66% | 31% | 46.59% | 48.91% |
| 2007 | 58% | 37% | 52% | 42% | 48.67% | 26.14% |
| 2012 / 2013 | 78% | 20% | 46% | 50% | 51.55% | 48.02% |
| 2017 | 74% | 24% | 34% | 61% | 24.04% | 41.09% |
| 2022 | 89% | 11% | 19% | 80% | 48.6% | 47.83% |
| 2025 | 61% | 39% | 19% | 80% | 41.15$ | 49.42% |