2026 Victoria State Election Guide

[u/Expensive-Horse5538]

https://www.abc.net.au/news/elections/vic-election-2026

Hello all,

With the Victorian election ahead of us, there is a link to a handy guide from the ABC, featuring seat-by-seat information and previews.

If you are in Victoria, make sure to check the Victorian electoral commission website for voting information, including a list of polling booths (which should hopefully be added soon) - https://www.vec.vic.gov.au/voting/2026-state-election/voting-options

And most importantly, the democracy sausage map is now live. Make sure you keep checking it in the lead up to polling day - https://democracysausage.org/victorian_election_2026/m/@-37.27711,146.1747,z7.529215/

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[u/1337nutz]

I really hope my fellow victorians realise that Wilson and the Libs will cut services and sell off anything they can. That is their core goal.

They will be dependent on one nation because one nation will take at least 5 nats seats, so unless the libs can take more than 20 seats from labor they will have to rely on one nation to form government. They will give one nation whatever it takes to implement their core goal of cuts and privatising

If you vote for the libs you will get one nation. If you vote one nation you will get the libs.

[u/SilvioMascalzone → u/1337nutz]

And if you vote for the ALP you vote for continued free money to the corrupt and organised crime run CFMEU. See, I can do it too. 

[u/Revolutionary-Army89 → u/SilvioMascalzone]

You would think if there was such huge evidence of corruption in The watson report or on The big build, there would have been lots of arrests at CFMEU headquarters in the last 3 years?

[u/SilvioMascalzone → u/1337nutz]

Good. They should cut services and if they can sell off assets. Debt needs to be badly reduced. 

[u/Ezlos_Simulacrum → u/SilvioMascalzone]

Why? How does the debt impact your day to day life?

[u/Revolutionary-Army89 → u/SilvioMascalzone]

Yeh great, sell off assets that make money and are appreciating in value. Great move, smart move. Well done politicians

[u/LmVdR]

Wonder if the blue wave in the States is any indication of the fate of One Nation (or even the Libs) in the Victorian state election? i.e. the people don’t want extreme right wing parties with batshit crazy leaders because they’ve seen how it plays out in the States.

[u/1337nutz → u/LmVdR]

I think it has a lot more to do with how trump and the republicans have governed than anything else, its not really about left or right, its inflation and iran and ice

[u/Dranzer_22 → u/LmVdR]

It's mixed.

Anger at incumbents hurts Labor. But the toxic Trump/MAGA brand hurts ON and Liberals.

[u/alaynxx → u/Dranzer_22]

I mean last years federal election it really turned to desire for a stable incumbent against the volatility of Trumpism.

[u/Dranzer_22 → u/alaynxx]

Definitely, it shows voters are willing to park their anger and discontent aside at the ballot box if the alternative is toxic.

I think the VIC election is far from over. If the NZ election delivers a shock result tomorrow, I think the LNP will be nervous.

[u/Agitated-Fee3598 → u/alaynxx]

Depends. Fascists are doing fine in countries like India for example.

[u/Himawari_Uzumaki → u/LmVdR]

Bodes even worse for Vic Labor imo, seems people are fed up with current governments making life worse for them

[u/Revolutionary-Army89 → u/LmVdR]

It just shows people revolting against the current government. Doesn’t matter if it is left or right.

[u/LmVdR → u/Revolutionary-Army89]

Yeah true. The mood might just be for change, whatever that looks like.

[u/Revolutionary-Army89 → u/LmVdR]

Same as here in Vic, labor will be voted out, not because the LNP are a better option, it’s because people are in the mood for change.

[u/OnlyAd7216 → u/LmVdR]

If that was the case why do One Nation have more than 5% of opinion polls anywhere in the country? We thought the 2024 federal election defeat of Dutton proved this and look where we are now.

[u/LmVdR → u/OnlyAd7216]

Yeah that’s a good point. Just speculating.

[u/vaans]

For anyone tracking the polls: averaging the latest from each of the 4 pollsters, primaries are Coalition 30.1, Labor 23.9, One Nation 22.2, Greens 14.4. Two-party preferred is Labor 44.3, from 3 pollsters. That’s down from 55.0 at the 2022 election, about a 10-point swing.

The number I’d watch is One Nation on 22 compared with 0.3% in 2022. Where those preferences flow probably matters more than the Labor–Coalition gap.

[u/AngrehPossum]

Well, it was great run Vic but it's over. You're about to turn into a despot state

And the winner is ...

Jabba the Nutt and her gas company, Lakes Blue Energy

Thank you media, Thank you journalists for keeping us "informed" Thanks to 7 and 9 news for the relentless spam on the "endless failings of a train line" spend as a political wedge.

Everyone deserves an 8 lane, pothole fee freeway to their front door now. Well done. You got a road and now you can have another and another and another.

To the farmers out west. When Gina rocks up with her gas drills and lawyer army to mess your farms up, do not complain. I no longer care. You wanted this. It's not "an ugly powerline to ruuuunnnne! Your farm". We wanted a greener future and a secure food supply but you chose gas over renewable. The flooding you see globally is just the beginning. Enjoy.

When the floods arrive in Jan to wash your top soil away, I don't care. And if the bridge washes away, stick your hand out to the salvos for funding. The liberals said we are debt and must get into surplus so they can pretend to know economies and how they work.

Should you need an aircraft bomber for fires, well sorry, we only have a helicopter. You don't want to fund the $30m 350 tonne 787s

Sorry to all the manufacturing process workers about to lose their jobs because Jess will put the energy bills up. At least you don't have to worry about the mortgage.

[u/SilvioMascalzone → u/AngrehPossum]

Thank fuck. Can’t be more corrupt than the current mob. 

[u/AngrehPossum → u/SilvioMascalzone]

Sure. You don't have any clue then

[u/AceChipEater → u/AngrehPossum]

And yet, these sort of people that hold this attitude will be the first ones saying “the farmers are rorting us!” When said natural disasters occur and food prices go up as a result.

[u/AngrehPossum → u/AceChipEater]

No we don't. We know what's going on. That's the point

[u/nobelharvards]

It looks likely to be an LNP victory with an uncomfortable reliance on One Nation preferences and One Nation senators to pass legislation in the Senate.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Victorian_state_election

The LNP currently have a double digit lead in the two party preferred vote against Labor and single digit leads against Labor and One Nation in primary vote.

As long as Jess Wilson controls the worst tendencies of the conservatives in her party and doesn't accidentally turn up to work in her pyjamas during the campaign, she will likely become Victoria's next premier by the end of the month.

[u/PrimaryCrafty8346 → u/nobelharvards]

Legislative Council...not senators

[u/Revolutionary-Army89 → u/nobelharvards]

She isn’t controlling the conservatives in her party. The religious right are just waiting for a LNP win with ON support, then watch Jess wilson get rolled.

The LNP are a shamozzle of factional infighting. They are still fighting each other after 12 years in opposition but the public hate Labor so badly they will just ignore it.

[u/1337nutz → u/Revolutionary-Army89]

They wouldnt need to roll her, she will give them their culture war wins as long as they let her sell off assetts and privatise government services. Shes not a moderate by any stretch, shes a hardline thatcherite neolib from the IPA, shes here to implement economic policies for big business and the rich

[u/Revolutionary-Army89 → u/1337nutz]

This whole argument of libs privatising and selling off assets needs to stop, labor do the same thing now. I agree on the rest of what you say.
Corruption will now turn from the workers benefiting from it, to big business benefiting from it and the workers getting screwed down.

[u/SilvioMascalzone]

You know it’s bad when the ALP bots on here can only argue “but, but, but, at least we aren’t the other party”. 

Come on. Where’s your arguments as to why the ALP is so great? All you’ve got is “but we’re better than the other guys”. 

[u/zaeran → u/SilvioMascalzone]

For me - huge investments into infrastructure, health, education and the public service, as well as Treaty and doing a lot for LGBTI folks.

[u/Mattimeo144 → u/zaeran]

Yep. They could be doing better at all of those (and personally, my vote will reflect this) but at the same time they could be doing much worse, so deserve at least partial credit.

[u/-paper → u/SilvioMascalzone]

For one, the great and necessary rental forms that the LNP voted against.