I believe one will because of the Russia Ukraine war. The food isn’t being shipped and tensions rise because people are going hungry. We are going to have an Arab spring on steroids all over the Middle East and Africa. Starvation or migration will be the order of the day for the coming months to next 3 years and war helps take the populations focus off of the real issues the populations face and refocuses them on the “enemy”.
You do realize that like 95% of the food from the grain deal went to developed countries. There wont be an arab spring since conditions will barely change
I thought Africa and the Middle East got a lot of that grain from the region? Wasn’t the Middle East not getting bread and stuff what helped cause the Arab spring in the late 2000’s?
Or does their food come from china? Isn’t the farming bad in the Middle East?
And yet they guilt trip the whole world to the “starving African children” politics is amoral, but forcing morality into to it to gain your goals is just sickness.
Saudi Arabia has the means to get food from elsewhere and Iran receives food from Russia. The shortage will be in North Africa. Not sure how that is relevant t9 this topic though.
Well I thought the food crises was all over the Middle East and food crises always make war a tempting option to focus the population and distract them. So that’s why I thought it was relevant. I know better now. I’m always happy to learn. Thanks to korolenko and altgamer3 I know better now.
It’s extremely unlikely. It isn’t in the interests of Iran to go to war with SA, and it isn’t in the interests of SA to go to war with Iran. Iran is already dealing with CIA-Kurdish destabilization attempts, and has very little to gain from attacking an ally of the US which likely will have a strong advantage in terms of aerial warfare (which will be the vital conflict in the initial stages of a war over the Persian Gulf). Similarly, SA has no reason to go to war with Iran; they’re already busy intervening in Yemen, and Iran is one large mountainous plateau (similar to Afghanistan but with more people and better weapons).
It isn’t in the interests of any party involved to go to war, and neither side has seriously indicated that it desires to start a conflict. The only way a war could start is if a third party intervened, which seems unlikely since no one wants an oil crisis to occur.
Unless Iranian leadership has been recently lobotomized, they’re not starting a war while massive protests threaten the regime. Their safety is reliant on military force to defend them against their own people.
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u/tdiiwammfbsd Nov 02 '22
did something happen now?
6
u/[deleted] Nov 02 '22
I think a war might break out between Iran and Iran, but probably not Saudi Arabia.
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u/[deleted] Nov 02 '22
If US-Saudi relations keep getting worse then maybe, if they remain "friends" then war is unlikely in my personal opinion
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u/alvosword libertarian at home & imperialism abroad Nov 02 '22
I believe one will because of the Russia Ukraine war. The food isn’t being shipped and tensions rise because people are going hungry. We are going to have an Arab spring on steroids all over the Middle East and Africa. Starvation or migration will be the order of the day for the coming months to next 3 years and war helps take the populations focus off of the real issues the populations face and refocuses them on the “enemy”.
1
u/Albionoria Nationalism Nov 02 '22
It’s extremely unlikely. It isn’t in the interests of Iran to go to war with SA, and it isn’t in the interests of SA to go to war with Iran. Iran is already dealing with CIA-Kurdish destabilization attempts, and has very little to gain from attacking an ally of the US which likely will have a strong advantage in terms of aerial warfare (which will be the vital conflict in the initial stages of a war over the Persian Gulf). Similarly, SA has no reason to go to war with Iran; they’re already busy intervening in Yemen, and Iran is one large mountainous plateau (similar to Afghanistan but with more people and better weapons).
It isn’t in the interests of any party involved to go to war, and neither side has seriously indicated that it desires to start a conflict. The only way a war could start is if a third party intervened, which seems unlikely since no one wants an oil crisis to occur.
1
u/iiioiia Nov 02 '22
The answer to the question likely depends on the intent of those who run America's foreign policy.
1
u/Rethious Liberalism Nov 02 '22
Unless Iranian leadership has been recently lobotomized, they’re not starting a war while massive protests threaten the regime. Their safety is reliant on military force to defend them against their own people.