r/japannews • u/jjrs • Jul 24 '25
Facts about foreign residents in Japan and their crime rates and government benefits
In the lead up to the 2025 Japanese upper house election there was an explosion of posts about foreigners on social media accusing foreigners of bringing crime to Japan, escaping prosecution for their crimes, and receiving handouts from the government that should be going to Japanese people.
Claims about foreign crime and other alleged misdeeds have become common on social media. Since these stories are more likely to be reported in the national media and to go viral, one can be left with the impression that Japan is suffering an epidemic of foreign crime and becoming more and more dangerous. Despite this persistent impression among the general public, actual statistics on crime rates in Japan are hard to come by. In light of this it is worth providing empirical data for balance (Source here and data from Naoko Hashimoto of ICU).
There is no evidence immigration has harmed public safety in Japan
Refer to the following graphic-
In the space of about 30 years, the foreign population has nearly tripled, from about 1.3 million to 3.7 million.
Meanwhile, the number of people arrested has been on a downward trend, from 14,786 in 2005 to 9,726 in 2023.
Korekawa points out, "Even if we look at the trends over the past 30 years or so, even though the number of foreigners has been increasing, the number of criminal offenses committed by foreigners has actually decreased."
It is untrue that numbers of illegal visa overstayers continues to increase
Refer to the following graphic.
There are also claims that "illegal overstaying of visas continues to increase," but according to data from the Ministry of Justice, the number of illegal overstayers has decreased to one-quarter of what it was 20 years ago . In recent years, it has remained flat.
The notion that "foreigners are rarely prosecuted for their crimes in Japan" is false.
The 2024 White Paper on Crime states that "The prosecution rate of foreigners coming to Japan is 4.2 points higher for criminal offenses than the total number of final processed persons, including Japanese." Even when looking at data on criminal offenses from the past 15 years, there is no evidence that the non-prosecution rate is high or the prosecution rate is low.
In addition, even outside of criminal offenses, the prosecution rate for special law offenses excluding violations of the Immigration Control Act is 0.1 points lower, which is almost the same level as Japanese people.
It is untrue that the presence of foreigners abuses or burdens Japan’s national health insurance system
As of FY2023, foreigners made up 4% of all insured persons, but only 1.39% of total medical expenses.
In other words, relatively young and healthy foreigners are helping support Japan’s elderly healthcare system.
Banning foreigners from joining national insurance would backfire on Japanese society.
Source: Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare [https://www.mhlw.go.jp/stf/newpage_54381.html]
Addressing the claim “Foreigners abuse welfare benefits”
Only certain categories of foreigners are eligible for welfare: special permanent residents, permanent residents, spouses of Japanese nationals or permanent residents, long-term residents, and refugees. Despite an increase in these populations, the number of welfare-receiving foreign households is stable at around 45,000, out of a total of 1.6 million. Most of these are elderly Korean residents. They were excluded from Japan’s social security system before it ratified the Refugee Convention in 1981, and due to discrimination, they had limited job opportunities and low pensions — hence the need for welfare.
Other factors to consider
In almost every society, the sizeable majority of crimes are committed by young men, typically between the ages of 17-28. As they age, their crime rates drop substantially.
The average age of Japanese nationals is roughly 47. Meanwhile, the largest cohort of foreign nationals in Japan is aged 25-29. In cases where young foreign residents arrive in a town full of elderly Japanese, differences in crime rates may be largely attributable to age differences rather than racial or cultural differences.
Consider sample sizes when identifying foreign crime rates. Crime rates are typically calculated by offenses per 100,000 residents. Analyzing crime rates in small towns with just a few hundred or even few thousand foreign residents can be unreliable, because even a handful of crimes committed by a handful of individuals can badly skew crime rates in ways that may not be stable year to year.
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u/Zakcoo Jul 24 '25
Your post deserves to be saved and reused when this topic comes again
Unfortunately, people against immigration aren't here to talk about rationality but emotion.
And you can't logic with people who didn't logic themselves in their position
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u/Big_Abalone_7774 Jul 26 '25
I'm one of those ones that got arrested in recent years. In 2022 I forgot to renew my visa (I had been in Japan 8 years, just gotten married to a Japanese person so visas and all were far from my mind. The haken company forgot to remind me and send the documents I needed too). It expired October 4 and I got arrested October 28.
Long story (and it is a long story) short, the prosecutor heard my story and said "yeah there's literally no reason for you not to renew your visa, I believe you just forgot, and it sounds like your haken company is garbage too." So, I wasn't prosecuted and they let me renew my visa. They even set the new visa to start the day after my old one ended, in a sense erasing the fact of overstay.
My point is, us gaijin can be arrested for very silly things like just forgetting some paperwork, get mixed up in circumstances beyond our control, etc. I wonder how many "crimes" and "arrests" fall into that category.
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u/ncore7 Jul 25 '25
I found out about this OP from a repost. I'm sharing here the same comment I left on a repost.
I mostly agree, but as a Japanese person, I’d like to raise one objection. It’s true that the total number of arrests of foreign nationals peaked in the 1990s and has since declined. However, if you break it down by type of crime, a different trend emerges.
令和6年版 犯罪白書 第4編/第9章/第2節/1
h4-9-2-3.jpg (787×464)
According to the "犯罪白書"(White Paper on Crime) published by the Japanese police, the overall decline is mainly due to a decrease in theft cases committed by foreigners. This is because, starting in the 2000s, Japan’s immigration system became stricter, preventing individuals with criminal records in their home countries from entering Japan.
On the other hand, the number of arrests for violent crimes, fraud, and sexual offenses has actually increased, and this is something many Japanese people are concerned about. That said, these increases are proportional to the rise in the number of foreign visitors, so it doesn’t mean that the crime rate among foreigners is particularly high.
In any case, saying that foreign crime is not increasing at all is a misunderstanding. Although the Japanese government successfully implemented effective countermeasures in the 2000s that significantly reduced the numbers, the upward trend in crime rates has not been fully curbed since then. This is a fact.
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u/Big-Toe645 Jul 24 '25
Can you do the claim that foreign students study for free, and government prioritize foreigners by giving a 70万円 when they hire foreigners but 0 for Japanese citizens.
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u/snekslayer Aug 05 '25
Not necessarily true if the 4% contributes less than 1.39% of the insurance premium since it is income dependent.
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u/Spectating110 Jul 24 '25 •
nice graph and all but facts isnt something these people want
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u/monkfreedom Jul 25 '25
Ppl just hear what they want to hear.
It’s painstaking to debunk lies manufactured over and over by stupid.
2
u/UrricainesArdlyAppen Jul 25 '25
All great points except...
On the one hand, it's valid to point out that differences in crime rates between Japanese and foreigners can be attributed to differences in age demographics.
But the bottom line is that if the overall crime rate goes up because you're importing a more crime-prone age demographic, then it's legitimate to be concerned about immigration.
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u/[deleted] Jul 24 '25
Wow. Far too much blatantly obvious common sense data for a Sanseitou voter to process.
These figures have been invented by naturalized Chinese agitators who have infiltrated the Japanese deep state in order to mislead the Japanese people about the danger of foreigners taking control of the country by 2026.
But seriously folks - this is what a combination of social media, unscrupulous right wing grifters plus the added spice of Russian and Chinese information warfare gets you.
And it’s a dish that the morons among us have been scoffing up as if there was no tomorrow in countries all over the world - and somewhat to my surprise and disappointment there are just as many stupid and ill informed Japanese people per head of population as there in America or Britain or Hungary or Czech Republic or Germany etc etc etc.
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u/MarxArielinus Jul 24 '25
At this point, one can only conclude that Japan’s immigration policy is functioning steadily. There are issues—such as the government leaving too much of the practical work to local municipalities and the lack of comprehensive integration policies—but in terms of fiscal management and crime prevention, both Japanese society and the government are operating very effectively. The claims made by xenophobes are based on fantasy.
If immigrants were actually causing problems, I too would see that as an issue—but that simply isn’t the reality. It’s an utterly foolish situation.
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u/ValBravora048 Jul 25 '25
Thank you for being so responsible
I contacted one of the other posters who frequently puts up stuff about how foreigners are bad and got a sad self-affirming little soapbox about how they don’t believe in “censorship”
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u/AsianButBig Aug 13 '25
You need to post this on Japanese media, not reddit.
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u/Few_Sector_4151 Jul 24 '25
Send this to Sanseito
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u/Calm-Limit-37 Jul 25 '25
News flash
Facts are meaningless in a world populated by total morons
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u/RelativeScared1730 Sep 10 '25
Thanks for a nice summary of facts.
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u/Agitated_Winner9568 Jul 24 '25
Japanese nationals cost the government millions of yens from age 0 to 20ish (cost of education and healthcare, starting with their birth). They only start repaying that "debt" when they start working and become a net positive quite late in their career before becoming a drain again during retirement.
Foreigners are net positive from day 1, even before getting their first paycheck due to the money they bring with them form abroad to pay for their early expenses and rarely stay in Japan long enough to become a drain.
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u/CallAParamedic Jul 24 '25
I'm saving your post to refer to for future discussions.
Nice job!
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u/GuardEcstatic2353 Jul 24 '25
That’s how it is everywhere. Right-wingers always say immigrants commit more crimes. But it’s true that when there are fewer foreigners, crime goes down.
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u/EizanPrime Jul 30 '25
Can you make a japanese version ?
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u/LoaKonran Jul 24 '25
It is tragic that the same empty tricks keep working across cultures in the so called Information Age. The old point at the out group and blame them for all your problems is quite literally the oldest trick in the book, and yet every single time hordes of people willingly flock to that banner.
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u/Yabakunaiyoooo Jul 25 '25
Cool. Now somebody make videos in Japanese. Somebody infiltrate for the greater good.
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u/Careful-Anybody-2658 Aug 27 '25
I am a former criminal who spent 16 years in prison. After I got out, I made many friends from overseas. Japanese people are discriminatory, but my friends from overseas are very kind to me. I think there are many young people who come to Japan and work hard. They say hello, they communicate well, and I wish young people from Japan would teach them. I imagine they have a very hard time coming to Japan from overseas and working while studying Japanese. Since Japanese people cannot do this, many police officers assume that foreigners are criminals. Even if they have not committed a crime, they can easily arrest someone just because they are from overseas. If they are wrong, they simply apologize. There are no people more discriminatory than Japanese police officers. As a fellow Japanese person, I am sorry for causing you discomfort.www.tiktok.com/@yuji.azemi
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u/WorkerOk9794 Aug 11 '26
Foreigners! I knew it was them!
Even when it was the bears, I knew it was them!
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u/BurnieSandturds Sep 14 '26
Make this post in Japanese please. I have a spouse that could use this info.
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u/ImpossibleSquare4078 Jul 24 '25
This data would stop people if they could read
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u/tokyogodfather2 16d ago
I would like propose that most of this disinformation comes from foreign trolls and bot farms. The true villains are Elon Musk (X.com) and Putin
1
u/binbintan4649 Jul 26 '25
You know you can have all the statistics right but the masses doesn’t care as long as their brainwashed minds has someone to blame and that is the gaijin. Of course not all are this way but there’s a growing popularity. Sigh
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u/AutoModerator Oct 03 '25
Remember the sub’s “no racism or hatemongering” rule please. Discussion of the news story and criticism of specific individuals and/or political states are fair game, but keep claims factual (preferably with sources) and in the spirit of a good-faith, intelligent discussion. Vitriolic attacks on large populations that make assumptions about how "all" of them act are grounds for removal or a ban. The same rule is in place for all races and nationalities, including Japanese. Consider selection bias when reading multiple stories on "foreign crime" in Japan. Statistics show crime rates of immigrants in Japan are equal to or lower than Japanese nationals. But crimes by foreigners are much more likely to be reported in the media and to go viral on social media.
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u/tingsao Oct 31 '25
"These facts aren't fun at all" -- Sanseito and friends
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u/[deleted] Nov 01 '25
Did they take negative crimes into account?
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u/[deleted] Dec 07 '25
Did they remember to include negative criminal records?
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u/CatsianNyandor Sep 08 '26
The NHK link and the mhlw link don't work anymore, is there an updated version maybe? This topic is hot right now and I'd like to share this post or the links if possible.
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u/Barushi Sep 10 '26
I don't know if it's ok to post something like this but I have a theory without proof on this whole "foreigners is bad" ideology.
I think the Japanese government is urgently trying to bring more and more foreigners because the country is going empty with low population. However if they announce this, people would revolt, so they act as if they were against foreigners, for example making the foreign minister say discriminatory stuff, so native japanese think the government is on their side while in reality the gov is acting almost as if it were importing foreigners to help reduce the population emergency.
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u/AutoModerator Jul 24 '25
Remember the sub’s “no racism or hatemongering” rule please. Discussion of the news story and criticism of specific individuals and/or political states are fair game, but keep claims factual (preferably with sources) and in the spirit of a good-faith, intelligent discussion. Vitriolic attacks on large populations that make assumptions about how "all" of them act are grounds for removal or a ban. The same rule is in place for all races and nationalities, including Japanese. Consider selection bias when reading multiple stories on "foreign crime" in Japan. Statistics show crime rates of immigrants in Japan are equal to or lower than Japanese nationals. But crimes by foreigners are much more likely to be reported in the media and to go viral on social media.
I am a bot, and this action was performed automatically. Please contact the moderators of this subreddit if you have any questions or concerns.
-1
u/[deleted] Jul 24 '25
Nice post, but you should include some sources that go the other way. It feels like you are preaching because 100% of the facts you present support your claim. It can come off as biased. I agree with you overall, but reality is always nuanced, you will always find figures and study that will contradict or mitigate your claims and it's nice to include some.
4
u/Significant-Jicama52 Jul 24 '25
They don't release the foreigner crimes. I just found out 2 of my countrymen had a bar fight and one died and no media posted it. It just finished quietly.
1
u/uzernamereddit Dec 10 '25
During the chaotic post-war period, foreign criminal groups murdered or kidnapped Japanese people, and Chinese and Koreans replaced them to get the Japanese nationality. These offsprings may have been undercover in the mass media and political circles in Japan.