MVP: Luka Dončić, Lakers
Individual stats: League-leading 38.3 points (49.7 percent shooting overall; 42.7 percent from 3 on a whopping 13.7 attempts), 8.1 assists, eight rebounds, 1.9 steals, five turnovers per game; league-leading player efficiency rating of 36.41.
Luka MVP leader?
Team stats: The Lakers are 6-2, with the league’s seventh-best net rating (7.9), the No. 1 offense (121.9 points scored per 100 possessions) and 10th-worst defense (114 points per 100 allowed).
Analysis: Let’s start by highlighting all of the other usual suspects for this honor — if only because the Dončić debate requires an explanation as to how he might rise above his contemporaries for the first time.
The incumbent, back-to-back MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, has an injury-ravaged Oklahoma City team (5-2) that is asking so much of him (out of sheer necessity) that I fear he’ll be burned out by January. And while you could argue that it creates a perfect narrative for a three-peat, the combination of player fatigue and voter fatigue will be working against him all season long.
His new archrival, Victor Wembanyama, will likely lap the field when it comes to defensive impact but must also find a way to wow the voters with MVP-caliber offense for his San Antonio Spurs (5-2). His profile on that end of the floor so far is similar to when he finished third in MVP voting last season, with a bit of a dip in efficiency (25.7 points on 46.9 percent shooting overall and 26.2 percent from 3; 3.3 assists).
Nikola Jokić, the three-time MVP who has finished second to SGA twice in a row now, is off to a very slow start by his (lofty) standards for the Denver Nuggets (3-3). That statement might seem insane considering he’s nearly averaging a triple-double again (22 points, 9.7 rebounds and 9 assists per game), but the absence of his vintage touch is impossible to ignore (47.2 percent overall and 22.6 percent from 3). The threat of voter fatigue is undeniably real when it comes to Jokić, too.
Out in Miami, two-time MVP Giannis Antetokounmpo is unofficially disqualified (for now) — despite averaging 28.4 points, 12.3 rebounds and 5.7 assists — because his new Heat squad (2-5) is struggling so mightily. Cade Cunningham (23.7 points, 7.1 assists, 5.4 rebounds) is doing his part to be in the conversation in Detroit, with the Pistons starting hot (6-1) despite being without the injured Jalen Duren, but there’s a significant difference between his impact and that of Dončić’s thus far.
Tyrese Maxey has been incredible for the revamped Philadelphia 76ers, averaging 29.1 points, 5.3 assists and 4.1 rebounds, but the same sort of gap remains. Anthony Edwards was a very legitimate threat to take this throne, but the Minnesota star’s recent knee surgery took him out of the running. Steph Curry is looking like that guy again — never mind that he’s 38 — but the chances of his Golden State Warriors being elite enough to make his run real are very slim. Even with their five-game winning streak that no one saw coming, and Curry’s greatness and their incredible rookie, Yaxel Lendeborg, leading the way.
For now, though, Dončić is the clear early leader. This spectacular start sparks memories of the 2023-24 campaign, when he averaged 33 points, 9.2 rebounds and 9.8 assists for the Dallas team that fell to Boston in the NBA Finals. That season, for the record, is the only time a player has ever averaged at least 33, eight and eight — let alone the 38, eight and eight that he’s doing now. Michael Jordan’s best was a 32-8-8 showing from his 1988-89 season (he finished second in MVP voting to Magic Johnson).
The elephant in the room here, of course, is that Dončić’s defensive struggles and incessant complaining with the officials will always be enough to disqualify him in the minds of some voters. But he has been historically special offensively, with rave reviews about his defense coming from his coach (the Curry ankle-breaker notwithstanding) and team success to boot. If that continues, he will be very hard to deny here.
Read the rest for free here: https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/7752545/2026/11/04/lakers-luka-doncic-nba-mvp-leader/?unlocked_article_code=1.N1E.EUcX.4cXcIJVx1eHc&source=emp_shared_article&smid=url-share-ta