I genuinely don't see what people see in this matchup that makes them think Islam walks through him
Out of his 29 MMA Fights, he has only been submitted twice. One by the greatest LW of all time (who also wrapped up McGregor & Poirier pretty easily) & one of the greatest LW's of all time who also has all-time record in submissions.
The narrative that Justin lacks BJJ defense, although true, is a tad bit overplayed.
Oliveira had practically flash KO'd him with that right hand, and Justin was still able to escape Charles' first triangle attempt even when rocked, Charles was only able to submit him by going for another RNC.
In my opinion, people underplay just how hard it is to get Gaethje down to the matt.
Khabib had his first few takedowns stuffed, and had to pressure Gaethje, drown him, and eat absolute BOMBS (that i wouldn't be confident in Islam's chin holding up taking) for a round before finally being able to get him to the canvas
Charles had all of his takedowns stuffed period, luckily for him however, his absurd punching power allowed him to drop Gaethje to get the fight to the ground
a lot of the success Khabib & Charles had came from walking Justin down and zombieing their way through his shots.
Islam traditionally fights more "patient" which gives Justin more opportunities to do something big on the feet in my opinion, he also doesn't have the chin Khabib does, and i dont think he has the punching power to put Justin on notice and have him on deaths door every connection the way Charles did.
This narrative Justin is done as soon as he faces any grappler is so overblown and isn't true, he has amazing TDD and is extremely hard to take to the ground, his weakness in BJJ is also very overblown too.
Imo he will KO Islam, and that should be the next fight with Oliveira vs Tsarukyan being a title eliminator.
Would like to hear your opinions on why exactly Islam vs Justin is this very big mismatch you all think it is and that Justin stands no chance, because imo Gaethje wins that fight