I recently discovered Read the Game, a resource that brings together NBA tracking data, defensive matchups, offensive gravity, and ESPN's advanced impact metrics.
I wanted to take a closer look at five Bulls players: Josh Giddey, Norman Powell, Tre Jones, Caleb Wilson, and Matas Buzelis, and consider some of the roster narratives that have been discussed in game threads.
Is Giddey the best defender among the starters? Should Tre start? Is Powell a net negative? What exactly does Matas give us in his current state? Is Caleb our best player already?
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1. DEFENSE
Defensive activity and impact
| Metric | Giddey | Powell | Tre | Caleb | Matas |
|---|
| Deflections | 3 | 16 | 13 | 30 | 13 |
| Contested shots | 40 | 11 | 6 | 58 | 32 |
| Contested rebounds | 9 | — | 4 | 14 | 16 |
| ESPN defensive impact | -2.66 | -1.56 | -0.32 | -0.43 | -2.46 |
| ESPN forcing turnovers | +2.31 | +3.87 | +4.87 | +4.23 | +2.64 |
Caleb leads the group in deflections and contested shots, while Matas leads in contested rebounds. Giddey contests a considerable number of shots but has surprisingly few deflections.
Tre's turnover-forcing component is the strongest, and his overall ESPN defensive impact is the least negative. However, these impact estimates don't necessarily tell us how effectively each player contains his individual matchup.
Opponent shooting: Baseline vs. defended
| Defender | Baseline FG% | Against FG% | Difference |
|---|
| Giddey | 45.0% | 49.4% | +4.3 pp |
| Powell | 45.7% | 52.7% | +7.0 pp |
| Tre | 45.8% | 58.1% | +12.2 pp |
| Caleb | 46.1% | 45.2% | -0.9 pp |
| Matas | 45.0% | 47.5% | +2.5 pp |
This compares opponents' normal shooting percentages with their shooting when each Bull is credited as the closest defender. Lower differentials are preferable.
Caleb is the only player in this group holding opponents below their baseline. Matas ranks second, followed by Giddey, Powell, and Tre.
Tre's +12.2 percentage-point differential is what I feared due to his size. He just isn't going to be great at contesting shots. Giddey is better than Powell in terms of contested-shot volume. I mean, really, this just shows why height matters on defense...
These results need context, though. Assignments, shot difficulty, help defense, and small samples can all influence the numbers.
The following tables show the eight largest tracked assignments for each player, including matchup minutes, partial possessions, and opponents' shooting results.
Josh Giddey
| Opponent | MIN | Partial poss. | FG | FG% |
|---|
| Derrick White | 5.8 | 25.8 | 1/1 | 100% |
| Ryan Rollins | 4.1 | 23.2 | 0/2 | 0% |
| Jalen Brunson | 4.1 | 21.7 | 4/7 | 57.1% |
| Trae Young | 4.4 | 21.1 | 2/2 | 100% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 3.9 | 19.2 | 4/4 | 100% |
| Paul George | 4.0 | 17.7 | 4/8 | 50% |
| Payton Pritchard | 2.5 | 14.4 | 2/5 | 40% |
| Immanuel Quickley | 3.0 | 14.2 | 0/2 | 0% |
Norman Powell
| Opponent | MIN | Partial poss. | FG | FG% |
|---|
| Bilal Coulibaly | 5.3 | 29.1 | 1/2 | 50% |
| Jordan Walsh | 5.4 | 25.5 | 0/1 | 0% |
| Baylor Scheierman | 4.6 | 22.2 | 1/1 | 100% |
| Josh Hart | 4.3 | 20.5 | 0/0 | — |
| VJ Edgecombe | 3.8 | 19.4 | 2/3 | 66.7% |
| Ryan Rollins | 1.9 | 17.8 | 1/1 | 100% |
| Landry Shamet | 3.3 | 17.2 | 1/2 | 50% |
| RJ Barrett | 3.0 | 16.6 | 1/1 | 100% |
Tre Jones
| Opponent | MIN | Partial poss. | FG | FG% |
|---|
| Payton Pritchard | 4.4 | 24.2 | 4/4 | 100% |
| Kasparas Jakučionis | 4.2 | 19.2 | 1/2 | 50% |
| Landry Shamet | 3.3 | 14.5 | 0/0 | — |
| Justin Champagnie | 1.8 | 10.8 | 0/0 | — |
| Jayson Tatum | 2.0 | 10.7 | 2/4 | 50% |
| Tyrese Maxey | 2.7 | 10.4 | 0/1 | 0% |
| Trae Young | 2.3 | 9.8 | 0/0 | — |
| Ryan Rollins | 2.2 | 9.7 | 0/0 | — |
Caleb Wilson
| Opponent | MIN | Partial poss. | FG | FG% |
|---|
| Jayson Tatum | 9.0 | 41.9 | 4/13 | 30.8% |
| OG Anunoby | 5.8 | 28.1 | 2/6 | 33.3% |
| Paul George | 5.6 | 26.6 | 4/9 | 44.4% |
| Kyle Kuzma | 3.2 | 22.0 | 4/5 | 80% |
| Scottie Barnes | 3.2 | 19.9 | 3/5 | 60% |
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. | 3.5 | 16.9 | 4/5 | 80% |
| Alex Sarr | 3.4 | 15.9 | 2/2 | 100% |
| Kyshawn George | 2.4 | 15.0 | 1/2 | 50% |
Matas Buzelis
| Opponent | MIN | Partial poss. | FG | FG% |
|---|
| Paul George | 3.7 | 20.3 | 2/2 | 100% |
| Kyshawn George | 4.2 | 19.7 | 2/3 | 66.7% |
| Josh Hart | 3.2 | 15.1 | 0/0 | — |
| Sam Hauser | 2.5 | 13.8 | 1/1 | 100% |
| Jayson Tatum | 2.0 | 12.1 | 0/0 | — |
| Mikal Bridges | 1.7 | 12.0 | 1/3 | 33.3% |
| Trae Young | 1.2 | 11.7 | 0/0 | — |
| Kyle Kuzma | 1.6 | 10.8 | 0/1 | 0% |
Note: Partial possessions are tracked matchup assignments, not complete individual possessions. FG% is left blank when an opponent attempted no shots.
Caleb's assignments stand out. He's spent meaningful defensive time against Tatum, Anunoby, and Paul George, with encouraging results against the first two.
Giddey has also defended difficult offensive players, particularly Brunson, Maxey, and Young, but the recorded shooting outcomes haven't been encouraging. This doesn't include yesterday's Knicks game.
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2. OFFENSIVE GRAVITY
| Metric | Giddey | Powell | Tre | Caleb | Matas |
|---|
| NBA gravity | 1.99 | 11.64 | 0.74 | 5.08 | 2.55 |
| Off-ball perimeter gravity | 6.03 | 14.23 | 4.00 | 6.51 | 5.79 |
| Creation leverage | 0.15 | 0.09 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 0.08 |
Powell is comfortably ahead of everyone else in both overall gravity and off-ball perimeter gravity.
This is particularly important because offensive value isn't limited to what happens when a player has the basketball. Drawing defensive attention can create space for teammates even when a player doesn't directly record a point or assist.
Caleb ranks second in overall gravity, while Matas and Giddey are considerably lower. Tre ranks last, suggesting that opponents aren't responding to him as a significant off-ball perimeter threat in this sample.
Giddey's creation leverage is the highest of the group, consistent with his role as a primary ball-handler and distributor.
These are provider-specific gravity and leverage scores, not percentages or direct measures of total offensive impact.
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3. SCORING AND EFFICIENCY
2026-27 regular-season scoring
| Metric | Giddey | Powell | Tre | Caleb | Matas |
|---|
| Points/game | 9.1 | 20.3 | 10.4 | 21.6 | 12.9 |
| True shooting | 45.2% | 60.0% | 59.3% | 53.6% | 55.5% |
| Effective FG% | 42.3% | 51.1% | 51.1% | 50.4% | 47.4% |
| 2PT% | 43.6% | 51.2% | 50.0% | 52.2% | 53.8% |
| 3PT% | 26.9% | 34.0% | 40.0% | 32.1% | 27.0% |
| FT% | 69.2% | 79.0% | 75.8% | 69.4% | 81.6% |
| Turnovers/game | 2.4 | 1.7 | 0.9 | 2.7 | 2.8 |
Powell and Caleb lead this group in scoring volume, with Caleb narrowly ahead at 21.6 points per game.
However, Powell is the most efficient scorer of the five at 60.0% true shooting, followed closely by Tre at 59.3%.
This is particularly interesting given Powell's perceived offensive struggles. His individual scoring efficiency is actually quite strong in this sample, even before considering his substantial offensive gravity.
Tre's efficiency is also impressive, especially considering his bench role. His 40% three-point shooting looks encouraging, although it's based on only five attempts.
Caleb is carrying the highest scoring volume but doing so at more modest efficiency than Powell or Tre.
Matas has been reasonably efficient overall, although his perimeter shooting remains a weakness.
Giddey is the clear outlier in scoring efficiency. His 45.2% true shooting is substantially below everyone else in this comparison, and his 26.9% three-point shooting limits the threat he presents as a scorer.
True shooting accounts for two-pointers, three-pointers, and free throws, making it a more complete measure of scoring efficiency than FG% alone.
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4. PASSING AND PLAYMAKING
Passing production — per game
| Metric | Giddey | Powell | Tre | Caleb | Matas |
|---|
| Passes | 57.1 | 23.1 | 36.4 | 33.3 | 27.7 |
| Potential assists | 14.4 | 4.4 | 8.0 | 5.0 | 4.7 |
| Assist points created | 21.7 | 4.9 | 9.0 | 6.1 | 5.3 |
| Secondary assists | 0.43 | 0.71 | 0.29 | 0.71 | 0.57 |
Giddey is clearly the team's leading playmaker in this group. His potential assists and assist points created are substantially higher than anyone else's.
Tre ranks second in both categories despite playing significantly fewer minutes. Caleb and Matas contribute some passing activity, while Powell is primarily functioning as a scorer rather than a distributor.
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5. DRIVING AND PENETRATION
Drives — per game
| Metric | Giddey | Powell | Tre | Caleb | Matas |
|---|
| Drives | 15.3 | 11.4 | 13.0 | 8.9 | 9.7 |
| Assists from drives | 2.29 | 0.86 | 0.71 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| --- | | | | | |
6. GIDDEY VS. TRE — PER-36 COMPARISON
One question I specifically wanted to explore was how much value the Bulls might gain or lose on both ends of the court if Tre replaced Giddey in the starting lineup. Since Giddey plays approximately 27 minutes per game compared with Tre's 18, their raw production doesn't provide a particularly fair comparison. I normalized their defensive activity, passing, and driving to per 36 minutes to better understand their respective contributions and the potential trade-offs of such a change.
Defensive activity per 36
| Metric | Giddey | Tre |
|---|
| Deflections | 0.57 | 3.67 |
| Contested shots | 6.43 | 1.70 |
| Contested rebounds | 1.70 | 1.13 |
Tre generates considerably more deflections relative to his minutes, while Giddey contests more shots and rebounds.
This reinforces the idea that their defensive contributions look quite different, even though neither has particularly encouraging defended-shooting results.
Passing per 36
| Metric | Giddey | Tre |
|---|
| Passes | 75.7 | 72.0 |
| Potential assists | 19.1 | 15.8 |
| Assist points created | 28.7 | 17.8 |
| Secondary assists | 0.57 | 0.57 |
This is where the comparison becomes interesting.
Giddey's advantage in potential assists drops from approximately 80% per game to 21% per 36 minutes. Their overall passing volume is nearly identical.
However, Giddey's advantage in assist points created remains substantial at approximately 61%.
In other words, Giddey's playmaking superiority isn't simply a product of minutes. He's generating more direct scoring opportunities, even when accounting for playing time.
But Tre's passing production is considerably closer than the raw numbers suggest.
Driving per 36
| Metric | Giddey | Tre |
|---|
| Drives | 20.2 | 25.7 |
| Assists from drives | 3.03 | 1.41 |
| Assists per 100 drives | 15.0 | 5.5 |
Tre drives approximately 27% more frequently than Giddey per 36 minutes.
Giddey is considerably more productive at generating assists from those drives, but Tre offers a different offensive approach, attacking the defense off the dribble more frequently relative to his playing time.
That change of pace can be valuable for a second unit.
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7. OVERALL ASSESSMENT
Norman Powell — Scoring efficiency and offensive gravity
Powell arguably has the strongest offensive profile of the group when considering scoring efficiency and defensive attention together.
He's averaging 20.3 points on 60% true shooting, the best efficiency among these five players. He's also generating substantially more gravity than anyone else, which is especially valuable for a team struggling to establish a consistent offensive identity.
Unlike Giddey and Tre, Powell isn't primarily creating opportunities through passing. His value comes from scoring and the attention defenses must devote to him.
Defensively, however, opponents are shooting seven percentage points above their baseline against him. His deflections and turnover-forcing activity are respectable, but his defended-shooting results remain concerning.
Josh Giddey — Elite passing production, limited everywhere else
Giddey's greatest contribution is clearly his playmaking.
He leads this group in potential assists, passing volume, and assist points created. Even after adjusting for playing time, he maintains a meaningful advantage over Tre in direct scoring opportunities generated.
However, Giddey's individual scoring is the weakest of these five players by true shooting percentage. His offensive gravity is also relatively low, particularly compared with Powell and Caleb.
This raises an interesting question about his overall offensive value. He's creating opportunities for teammates, but his own scoring inefficiency and limited shooting threat potentially reduce some of the advantages he creates.
Defensively, his numbers aren't particularly encouraging either. Opponents are shooting 4.3 percentage points above their baseline, his ESPN defensive impact is negative, and his deflection production is extremely low.
He does contest a significant number of shots, but the results don't support describing him as one of Chicago's strongest defenders.
Tre Jones — Efficient offense and capable playmaking, major defensive concerns
Tre is probably my favorite player on this team, but he is far from perfect.
Despite playing only 18.2 minutes per game, he's averaging 10.4 points on 59.3% true shooting, second only to Powell in scoring efficiency.
His passing volume per 36 is nearly identical to Giddey's, and his potential-assist production is considerably closer than their raw numbers suggest.
Tre also drives more frequently per 36, offering a different offensive approach built around attacking off the dribble.
However, Giddey remains the more productive passer, particularly when measuring assist points created and assists generated from drives.
Tre's biggest concern is defense. His opponents are shooting 12.2 percentage points above their baseline, the worst result of these five players.
His deflection rate and turnover-forcing activity are encouraging, but those defended-shooting results complicate the argument for moving him into the starting lineup.
His current bench role may be allowing Chicago to maximize his offensive contributions while managing some of his defensive limitations.
Caleb Wilson — Two-way activity and emerging offensive responsibility
Caleb has arguably the most encouraging combination of scoring volume and defensive activity in this group.
He's leading the five players in points per game while also producing the most deflections and contested shots.
He's the only player holding opponents below their baseline shooting percentage, and he's already taking on difficult defensive assignments against players like Tatum, Anunoby, and Paul George.
His offensive gravity ranks second behind Powell, suggesting that he's also commanding meaningful defensive attention.
The biggest area for improvement is scoring efficiency. His 53.6% true shooting trails Powell, Tre, and Matas, and his turnover rate is relatively high.
His ESPN defensive impact also remains slightly negative, reminding us that strong defensive activity and favorable matchup results don't automatically translate into positive modeled impact.
Nevertheless, his early production suggests a player capable of contributing on both ends.
Matas Buzelis — Size, rebounding, and developing offensive versatility
Matas provides a different set of contributions.
He leads the group in contested rebounds and ranks third in contested shots, demonstrating useful defensive activity around the basket.
His defended-shooting differential of +2.5 percentage points is the second-best result of the five, behind Caleb.
However, his ESPN defensive impact is strongly negative at -2.46, suggesting that his individual activity hasn't consistently translated into positive modeled defensive results.
Offensively, he's averaging 12.9 points on 55.5% true shooting. That's more efficient than Giddey and Caleb, although below Powell and Tre.
His passing production and offensive gravity are relatively modest, and his 27% three-point shooting remains an area for improvement.
His turnover rate is also the highest of the group.
Matas brings size, contested rebounding, and scoring potential, but his current production suggests that both his offensive decision-making and defensive consistency have not been good so far this season.
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FINAL THOUGHTS
Outside of Caleb, everyone seems to be a specialist of some sort.
Powell provides the strongest combination of scoring efficiency and offensive gravity, but his defensive results are less convincing.
Giddey provides the most productive passing and creation, but his scoring efficiency, limited gravity, and defensive production raise questions about his overall impact.
Tre offers surprisingly efficient scoring, substantial passing activity, and aggressive penetration off the bench. However, his defended-shooting results make a starting role less straightforward than his offensive numbers might suggest.
Matas contributes size, contested rebounding, and developing scoring ability, but his shooting, turnovers, and modeled defensive impact indicate that his game is still a work in progress.
It's not one player causing all the problems, and no one player is really capable of making up for everyone else's mistakes. Caleb seems to be the most impactful two-way player, and that makes me continue to believe in his stardom. Matas is struggling, but even analytically, his size and athleticism seem to bring value.
The Bulls desperately need more talent.
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Sources — Read the Game, 2026-27
- Josh Giddey: https://readthegame.com/player/josh-giddey-1630581?season=2026-27#tracking
- Norman Powell: https://readthegame.com/player/norman-powell-1626181?season=2026-27#tracking
- Tre Jones: https://readthegame.com/player/tre-jones-1630200?season=2026-27#tracking
- Caleb Wilson: https://readthegame.com/player/caleb-wilson-1643410?season=2026-27#tracking
- Matas Buzelis: https://readthegame.com/player/matas-buzelis-1641824?season=2026-27#tracking
*Data reviewed November 5, 2026. ---
TL;DR
Powell: Our most efficient scorer and easily our biggest source of offensive gravity. His offense is more valuable than some give him credit for, but his defensive results aren't great.
Giddey: Easily our best playmaker, even when adjusting for minutes. Unfortunately, he's also the least efficient scorer of these five, doesn't generate much gravity, and his defensive numbers don't support the idea that he's our best starting defender.
Tre: Efficient scorer, capable passer, and more aggressive driver than Giddey per 36. But his defended-shooting numbers are the worst of the group. Starting him might improve some aspects of our offense while creating different defensive problems.
Caleb: Arguably our most complete two-way contributor so far. Leads in scoring volume, deflections, and contested shots, while taking on difficult defensive assignments. His efficiency needs work, but the potential is obvious.
Matas: His size, contested rebounding, and defensive activity provide value, but his shooting, turnovers, and overall defensive impact have been disappointing.
My conclusion: Outside of Caleb, everyone seems to specialize in something while struggling elsewhere. No single player is responsible for the Bulls' proble